Wed, 01/11/2012 - 12:44 - Mark Klein
A few weeks ago I met a gentleman who said I couldn’t predict what his customers would do. “Our customers’ tastes dictate what they’ll buy”, he told me, “and you can’t measure an intangible like taste.”
He was quite surprised when I told him we’d been doing it for years. And I suspect he didn’t quite believe me until I showed him how we do it.
At Loyalty Builders we measure taste using the algorithms we’ve developed over the last 10 years. With this proprietary math we can predict the likelihood of each individual customer buying each individual product. The methodology scales nicely so the number of customers and products is, for practical purposes, unlimited.
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Mon, 11/14/2011 - 13:50 - Mark Klein
A recent Wall Street Journal (10/27/11) carried a story about using credit card data to predict whether or not you will take your medicines as prescribed.
The article, “Next Frontier in Credit Scores: Predicting Personal Data” describes the Fair Isaac “Medicine Adherence Score” that “is based partly on how long a person has lived at the same address and whether he owns a car.” The Journal notes that “The proliferation of ’scores‘ highlights the widening trade in personal information, which is already fueling public concern about diminishing personal privacy.”
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Fri, 05/22/2009 - Arthur Einstein
Chrysler’s in bankruptcy. GM may be next. The silver linings on the cloudy horizon are pretty faint right now. And, yet … I’m not ready to give up the ghost and I doubt that you are either.
The question is, what to do? Sit around and wait for things to change? Or take some action that will give destiny a nudge in the right direction?
Personally, I’ve always believed the philosopher who said “the only reality is in action”. And one action I believe everyone needs to consider in tough times is how marketing dollars are being spent.
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Sun, 02/01/2009 - Arthur Einstein
It’s the oldest cliché in business - recession is a time of opportunity. But a raft of research confirms it's true. People who market aggressively in downturns not only survive but consistently emerge stronger. As Casey Stengel would say if he were alive today, “you could Google it”.
The most aggressive approach to bad times is to figure out who your best customers are and market to them relentlessly. Analyze your customers based on transaction data that’s sitting in sales or accounting databases. It’s going to tell you things about your best customers you never realized.
But beware. Best customers are not just the 5% or 10% who generate the most revenue. In fact, customers who spend the most may already be spending all they can with you.
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Mon, 11/03/2008 - Arthur Einstein
Back around 1999, when new products were being introduced as fast as you could put up a website, brand building underwent a quiet revolution.
With markets moving at warp speed there simply wasn’t time to build trust and reputation the traditional way - by advertising. In that super-heated environment the best way to build a brand was to get people to actually try the product. If you could manage to get trial, if the dogs ate the dog food, if they came back to buy again, and if they told their friends, then maybe you had a shot at survival.
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Sun, 02/10/2008 - Mark Klein
As word spread of my teleconference for Marketing 2.0 (see previous post), an interesting contrarian opinion appeared in my mailbox. Evidently there was something in the meeting notice to cause a reader to suspect that using mathematics to describe behavior could have negative consequences. He wrote “Is it just me, or do others also wonder where this mathematization of social relationships is leading humankind?”
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Fri, 02/08/2008 - Mark Klein
Here's the invitation to the Facebook Marketing 2.0 teleconference where I will be the featured speaker:
You are invited to attend a telephone conference at 1 PM ET on Wednesday February 13 that features Mark Klein talking about behavioral targeting and customer retention. The conference is hosted by Isabel Walcott Hilborn of Marketing 2.0 under the auspices of Facebook. You can see more details, including dial-in information, at http://harvard.facebook.com/event.php?eid=23509056840. If you are not already a Facebook member, you will need to do the simple, free signup.
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Tue, 01/22/2008 - Mark Klein
In the current post on Metrics Insider, Josh Chasin argues that behavioral targeting is not the be-all and end-all, that demographics is alive and well. He calls demographics “the targeting concept that wouldn’t die.” He says further that “more than half of U.S. ad dollars are placed against traditional demographic targets.”
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Thu, 01/10/2008 - Mark Klein
David Baker has a good column in Email Insider this week, What Really Makes An Email Program Click. In it, he writes "Remember one thing: You test to prove or disprove your hypothesis, not just for the exercise."
To me, that sounds like old school testing, where one ‘thing’, one
hypothesis, is tested. Formally, that is called split-run or A/B
testing. There is only one variable, and two variations of it. It
works, but it is time consuming and (if there is more than one
hypothesis) needs lots of test subjects and money. Consequently many
companies just don’t do it, relying instead on their intuition.
Sat, 01/05/2008 - Mark Klein
I am admittedly biased. When asked what I think is the best metric for ranking customers, I invariably recommend our proprietary Loyalty Score for a two reasons. First, it is highly predictive, corresponding to the probability that the scored customer will make a purchase in the next period. Second, it’s tested and proven through use by many clients over the past few years. We have a lot of confidence in it. Besides, I enjoy tweaking people who think the only good measure is revenue.
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